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Seraphim
06-08-2004, 09:16 AM
http://us.news2.yimg.com/us.yimg.com/p/ap/20040607/capt.nyet22506072017.skorea_us_military_nyet225.jpg

The graphics details a U.S. plan to withdraw troops from South Korea (news - web sites), and reposition many of those left, by 2005. (AP Graphic)


By HANS GREIMEL, Associated Press Writer

SEOUL, South Korea - Talks between South Korea (news - web sites) and the United States ended in discord Tuesday over plans to reposition U.S. troops, an issue that has been overshadowed by a separate proposal to slash all U.S. forces in the country by one-third.



South Korea's Defense Minister Cho Young-kil said the U.S. military has not finalized the plans to cut 12,500 of its 37,000 troops. Still he pledged to beef up Seoul's own forces amid concerns of a security vacuum along the Cold War's last frontier.


In two days of talks ending Tuesday, neither side could agree on the separate issue of how much land South Korea should provide for U.S. forces repositioned within the country, said Lt. Gen. Kwon Ahn-do, the main policy coordinator for South Korea's Defense Ministry.


"The two sides only exchanged their basic positions and failed to narrow differences," he said.


There was no immediate reaction from the U.S. side.


The U.S. troops along the border have long been considered a "tripwire" to ensure U.S. intervention if the North attacks. Many in the South also see them as a healthy restraint on the United States, believing Washington won't take military action to provoke the North when U.S. troops are in harm's way on the border.


The U.S. proposal to pull out 12,500 of its soldiers nationwide by the end of next year would force South Korea to shoulder more responsibility for defending itself from any North Korean military aggression.


But the plan, announced Monday, has raised concern the North could view a U.S. withdrawal as a sign of weakness as the communist country wrangles with its neighbors and Washington over its nuclear weapons program.


Defense Minister Cho tried to quell the security concerns, saying: "We have to have further negotiations... It has not yet been decided."


"Concerning concerns about a security vacuum, we will take measures to ensure that the U.S.-South Korea deterrent capability is not diminished, and we will make efforts to strengthen our deterrent capabilities," Cho said.


President Roh Moo-hyun has said in the past that South Korea must chip in more for its own defense, but some in the South voiced concern about the size and quick timetable of the proposed U.S. withdrawal.


The troop reduction would be the first major cut in South Korea since the early 1990s, when the allies coordinated the removal of 7,000 soldiers.


The United States has stationed troops in South Korea since the end of the Korean War — partly as a deterrent against North Korea (news - web sites) and partly as a counterbalance to other regional powers. The Korean War ended in a cease-fire, not a peace treaty, and the two sides are technically still at war.


South Korea's 650,000-member military is a modern, well-equipped force that routinely conducts joint training with U.S. counterparts. Most of the combat-ready troops are concentrated close to the border or around Seoul.


Cho did not give any details Tuesday about how the South might bolster its military deterrent.


North Korea has a formidable arsenal of missiles and more than 1 million soldiers, but it is said to have fuel shortages and lack spare parts for its decrepit military hardware.


Washington has said it will spend $11 billion over the next five years to modernize and improve its firepower in the theater as part of a global overhaul to make its troops more flexible.





"We are realigning our force posture to respond more effectively to the threats of the 21st century," State Department spokesman Adam Ereli said Monday.

duck
06-08-2004, 02:54 PM
"US Pullout Plan Unrealistic'



By Reuben Staines
Staff Reporter
The U.S. proposal to withdraw one-third of its troops from the Korean peninsula by the end of 2005 is unrealistic and Seoul will seek to negotiate a slower cutback process, South Korean security experts said on Tuesday.

Kim Tae-hyo, analyst at the government-affiliated Institute of Foreign Affairs and National Security, said the U.S. proposal to complete the troop reduction within 18 months conflicts with current plans to realign United States Forces Korea (USFK).

Washington previously announced it would spend $11 billion over three years to upgrade its military capabilities here, but this enhancement would not be complete when the troop reduction went ahead under the new timeline, Kim explained.

``The U.S. reduction plan is much faster than its initial proposal and it seems that it is self-contradictory,'' he said.

Kim believed completing the withdrawal of 12,500 troops within one and a half years is not practical and Washington knows this.

``It could be a negotiating tactic or it could be that the U.S. is rushing now to get through its GPR plan,'' he said, referring to the Global Defense Posture Review to reshuffle American troops worldwide.

The accelerated U.S. troop reduction timeline, delivered Sunday during talks on the sidelines of the Future of the Alliance meeting in Seoul, came as a surprise to many observers and has intensified concerns over a security vacuum on the peninsula.

Seoul on Tuesday stressed that Washington's reduction proposal is not set in stone and will be further discussed by the USFK and South Korean Joint Chiefs of Staff.

Kim expressed confidence that the U.S. will agree to extend the deadline for the USFK reduction.

He said South Korea should present a detailed counterproposal for the reduction and discuss thoroughly how the U.S. will help prepare. ``A realistic compromise would be to start the process of reduction by 2006 when the USFK investment will be realized,'' he said.

Seoul will seek a staged cutback over seven or eight years in line with its own 10-year defense enhancement plan, Kim predicted. ``They could finish up with that sort of agreement,'' he said. ``What the U.S. is scared of is a drawn out 10- or 20-year process.''

However, Kim said the government will be pressed to pour more public funds into security. Seoul officials estimate the present 2.8 percent of gross national product spent on defense will be expanded to 3.2 percent as the U.S. pulls out.

``Already the current process of replacing the USFK is pushing the South Korean government to reshuffle its budget balance,'' he said. ``The problem is the difficult economic situation and getting public acceptance for a budget increase.''

The government on Tuesday sought to play down the significance of the new U.S. proposal. ``It's not a unilateral notification of its plan but rather a formal suggestion for future negotiations,'' a Seoul official said on condition of anonymity.

The official said the government's counterproposal will primarily focus on the timing for the troop reduction. ``But that does not mean that we will just accept the figure (of 12,500 troops). We think the figure is also negotiable,'' he told reporters.

The official added that South Korea will speed up measures to achieve ``cooperative self-defense,'' a phrase President Roh Moo-hyun has been using to describe the reduced role the U.S. will have in South Korea's security.

``We'll step up our efforts to establish the system while also trying to improve our security situation by easing tension on the peninsula,'' he said. ``The security situation can be enhanced in two ways and, in that sense, making a breakthrough in the nuclear crisis is crucial.''



rjs@koreatimes.co.kr "

2Sheds_Jackson
06-08-2004, 04:43 PM
Hmmm let's see...some figures from ye olde CIA World Factbook


South Korea

Economy - overview:
As one of the Four Tigers of East Asia, South Korea has achieved an incredible record of growth and integration into the high-tech modern world economy. Three decades ago GDP per capita was comparable with levels in the poorer countries of Africa and Asia. Today its GDP per capita is 18 times North Korea's and equal to the lesser economies of the European Union. This success through the late 1980s was achieved by a system of close government/business ties, including directed credit, import restrictions, sponsorship of specific industries, and a strong labor effort. The government promoted the import of raw materials and technology at the expense of consumer goods and encouraged savings and investment over consumption. The Asian financial crisis of 1997-99 exposed longstanding weaknesses in South Korea's development model, including high debt/equity ratios, massive foreign borrowing, and an undisciplined financial sector. Growth plunged to a negative 6.6% in 1998, then strongly recovered to 10.8% in 1999 and 9.2% in 2000. Growth fell back to 3.3% in 2001 because of the slowing global economy, falling exports, and the perception that much-needed corporate and financial reforms had stalled. Led by consumer spending and exports, growth in 2002 was an impressive 6.2%, despite anemic global growth, followed by moderate 2.8% growth in 2003. In 2003 the six-day work week was reduced to five days.
GDP:
purchasing power parity - $941.5 billion (2002 est.)
GDP - real growth rate:
6.3% (2002 est.)
GDP - per capita:
purchasing power parity - $19,600 (2002 est.)
GDP - composition by sector:
agriculture: 4.4%
industry: 41.6%
services: 54% (2001 est.)
Population below poverty line:
4% (2001 est.)
Household income or consumption by percentage share:
lowest 10%: 2.6%
highest 10%: 24.8% (1998 est.)
Distribution of family income - Gini index:
31.6 (1993)
Inflation rate (consumer prices):
2.8% (2002 est.)
Labor force:
22 million (2001)
Labor force - by occupation:
services 69%, industry 21.5%, agriculture 9.5% (2001)
Unemployment rate:
3.1% (2002 est.)
Budget:
revenues: $118.1 billion
expenditures: $95.7 billion, including capital expenditures of $22.6 billion (2000)
Industries:
electronics, automobile production, chemicals, shipbuilding, steel, textiles, clothing, footwear, food processing
Industrial production growth rate:
6.5% (2002 est.)
Electricity - production:
290.7 billion kWh (2001)

And North Korea...
Economy - overview:
North Korea, one of the world's most centrally planned and isolated economies, faces desperate economic conditions. Industrial capital stock is nearly beyond repair as a result of years of underinvestment and spare parts shortages. Industrial and power output have declined in parallel. The nation has suffered its tenth year of food shortages because of a lack of arable land; collective farming; weather-related problems, including major drought in 2000; and chronic shortages of fertilizer and fuel. Massive international food aid deliveries have allowed the regime to escape mass starvation since 1995-96, but the population remains the victim of prolonged malnutrition and deteriorating living conditions. Large-scale military spending eats up resources needed for investment and civilian consumption. Recently, the regime has placed emphasis on earning hard currency, developing information technology, addressing power shortages, and attracting foreign aid, but in no way at the expense of relinquishing central control over key national assets or undergoing widespread market-oriented reforms. In 2003, heightened political tensions with key donor countries and general donor fatigue have held down the flow of desperately needed food aid and have threatened fuel aid as well.
GDP:
purchasing power parity - $22.26 billion (2002 est.)
GDP - real growth rate:
1% (2002 est.)
GDP - per capita:
purchasing power parity - $1,000 (2002 est.)
GDP - composition by sector:
agriculture: 30.4%
industry: 32.3%
services: 37.3% (2000 est.)
Population below poverty line:
NA%
Household income or consumption by percentage share:
lowest 10%: NA%
highest 10%: NA%
Inflation rate (consumer prices):
NA%
Labor force:
9.6 million
Labor force - by occupation:
agricultural 36%, nonagricultural 64%
Unemployment rate:
NA%
Budget:
revenues: $NA
expenditures: $NA, including capital expenditures of $NA
Industries:
military products; machine building, electric power, chemicals; mining (coal, iron ore, magnesite, graphite, copper, zinc, lead, and precious metals), metallurgy; textiles, food processing; tourism
Industrial production growth rate:
NA%
Electricity - production:
30.01 billion kWh (2001)

Why exactly are we protecting the stronger from the weaker? South Korea has only twice the labor force, but 18 times the GDP. Let them foot the bill for a while.