2RHPZ
07-05-2004, 01:33 AM
Worries over AUS air cover
July 05, 2004
IF John Howard delays the election until October or November, he may be forced to make another apology to Parliament that he has been misled by Defence.
This will depend on the performance of the Defence Department heads before the Joint Standing Committee on Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade at a specially convened meeting on August 2.
The Department of Defence has been recalled due to gaps in previous submissions and its revelation last month that Australia plans to cut air cover capacity from the levels set out in the 2000 Defence white paper. Partly as a result of the defence submissions to the committee, the ALP has declared that if elected, it will restore the 2000 level.
Unless the department reveals a lot more information to the next standing committee, the Government will be under pressure to follow. The 2000 white paper said that for the past 30 years Australia had had air superiority in the region but the countries to our north were likely to rapidly escalate their air strike capability in the next decade.
The authors of the white paper were chillingly correct. At the last joint standing committee meeting former defence minister Kim Beazley said that Australia was in "the only region in the world in which there is an arms race, in which people are acquiring new capabilities at a rapid rate of knots and learning how to use them".
The Defence chiefs announced to the joint committee that they would increase Australia's strike capability by 14 per cent from its current level.
But the white paper had planned on a 43 per cent increase, so in effect Defence is substantially reducing Australia's strike capability from 2010 onwards and it is doing this by retiring the F-111.
It plans to order (but has not done so) the US joint strike fighter (JSF) and it was assumed that it would arrive in 2012. But the fighter has not yet been designed and already has been put back to 2014 and is likely to be much later. The gap will be filled by a series of measures that support the F/A-18A.
The Defence chiefs said that the F-111 had encountered surprise problems and this meant that it would be very costly to maintain until the JSF arrived.
But in a submission in response to the Defence chiefs' claims, defence supplier Peter Goon and defence strategist Carlo Kopp say that the problems with the F-111 were known for many years previously and were not a surprise. They were easily managed and/or prevented by normal long-term planned maintenance. But Defence had not done this. Goon and Kopp also claim that the 14 per cent increase in air strike capability promised by the Defence chiefs is simply wrong and they had underestimated what was required to support the F/A-18A aircraft.
The Defence chiefs claimed they had technology to network the F/A-18A and that technology was not available for the F-111.
Goon and Kopp explain where F-111 networking equipment can be obtained. In all, they isolate 49 mistakes that they claim the Defence chiefs made in their submission to the joint committee.
If it does its job, the committee will make the Defence chiefs address each of the allegations.
It is obviously possible that the Defence department has the answers.
There will be enormous pressure on the committee to vote on party lines. But Australian defence should be worth more than that.
July 05, 2004
IF John Howard delays the election until October or November, he may be forced to make another apology to Parliament that he has been misled by Defence.
This will depend on the performance of the Defence Department heads before the Joint Standing Committee on Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade at a specially convened meeting on August 2.
The Department of Defence has been recalled due to gaps in previous submissions and its revelation last month that Australia plans to cut air cover capacity from the levels set out in the 2000 Defence white paper. Partly as a result of the defence submissions to the committee, the ALP has declared that if elected, it will restore the 2000 level.
Unless the department reveals a lot more information to the next standing committee, the Government will be under pressure to follow. The 2000 white paper said that for the past 30 years Australia had had air superiority in the region but the countries to our north were likely to rapidly escalate their air strike capability in the next decade.
The authors of the white paper were chillingly correct. At the last joint standing committee meeting former defence minister Kim Beazley said that Australia was in "the only region in the world in which there is an arms race, in which people are acquiring new capabilities at a rapid rate of knots and learning how to use them".
The Defence chiefs announced to the joint committee that they would increase Australia's strike capability by 14 per cent from its current level.
But the white paper had planned on a 43 per cent increase, so in effect Defence is substantially reducing Australia's strike capability from 2010 onwards and it is doing this by retiring the F-111.
It plans to order (but has not done so) the US joint strike fighter (JSF) and it was assumed that it would arrive in 2012. But the fighter has not yet been designed and already has been put back to 2014 and is likely to be much later. The gap will be filled by a series of measures that support the F/A-18A.
The Defence chiefs said that the F-111 had encountered surprise problems and this meant that it would be very costly to maintain until the JSF arrived.
But in a submission in response to the Defence chiefs' claims, defence supplier Peter Goon and defence strategist Carlo Kopp say that the problems with the F-111 were known for many years previously and were not a surprise. They were easily managed and/or prevented by normal long-term planned maintenance. But Defence had not done this. Goon and Kopp also claim that the 14 per cent increase in air strike capability promised by the Defence chiefs is simply wrong and they had underestimated what was required to support the F/A-18A aircraft.
The Defence chiefs claimed they had technology to network the F/A-18A and that technology was not available for the F-111.
Goon and Kopp explain where F-111 networking equipment can be obtained. In all, they isolate 49 mistakes that they claim the Defence chiefs made in their submission to the joint committee.
If it does its job, the committee will make the Defence chiefs address each of the allegations.
It is obviously possible that the Defence department has the answers.
There will be enormous pressure on the committee to vote on party lines. But Australian defence should be worth more than that.