PDA

View Full Version : Zarqawi "blew off" Bin Laden



Frogg
03-04-2005, 01:06 AM
.

By Michael Isikoff and Mark Hosenball
Newsweek
Updated: 6:07 p.m. ET March 2, 2005

EXCERPT:

Zarqawi Too Busy for Mainland U.S. Attack?

A Homeland Security Department bulletin sent to local law-enforcement agencies last week cited a secret message between Al Qaeda leaders and Abu Mussab al-Zarqawi, the terrorist leader in Iraq, as evidence that Osama bin Laden's network is still intent on mounting new terror attacks inside the United States. What was not publicly disclosed, however, is that U.S. intelligence also reported that Zarqawi had replied to Al Qaeda leaders with an answer that is open to multiple interpretations—one of which is that Zarqawi is too preoccupied in Iraq to contemplate attacks on the U.S. mainland.

According to officials familiar with the Homeland Security bulletin, the message from the Al Qaeda leadership, still apparently based somewhere in Afghanistan or Pakistan, urged Zarqawi to use terrorist allies around the world to conduct new attacks specifically on American soil. Officials said they could not confirm news reports that the message to Zarqawi was issued in the names of either bin Laden himself or his principal deputy, Ayman al-Zawahiri.

According to intelligence sources, the leadership message to Zarqawi is very brief but definitely urges new attacks inside the United States rather than against American targets elsewhere around the world. But the message contains no specific attack plans and is not regarded by U.S. analysts as constituting an operational order or direct threat.

What was not reported in the media—or in the Homeland Security bulletin to local cops—is that U.S. intelligence also picked up what analysts believe was a reply message from Zarqawi—who formally affiliated his Iraq-based terror network last year with the larger Al Qaeda movement. U.S. officials familiar with Zarqawi's reply are offering different interpretations of it.

According to one U.S. source, in his reply Zarqawi expressed deference to Al Qaeda leaders and indicated he would do what he could to follow up on their instructions. But according to two other U.S. sources, who also have access to intelligence analyses, Zarqawi was less than enthusiastic about the Al Qaeda leadership's suggestion. According to one source, Zarqawi's reply amounted to a "total blow off," in which the Jordanian-born jihadi indicated that he had his hands full keeping the insurgency going in Iraq and was not interested at the moment in expanding his activities halfway around the globe.

Whatever their interpretation of Zarqawi's reply to the Al Qaeda leadership, U.S. officials said that they did not believe the exchange of messages between the Iraqi-based insurgent and Al Qaeda leaders constituted evidence of any imminent terrorist threat against the U.S. mainland. Some officials also expressed anger that information about the exchange of messages leaked out, because the leaks could jeopardize U.S. intelligence sources and methods.

These officials indicated that the damage done to U.S. intelligence capabilities by the leaks may be far more serious than the benefit that the public (or local law-enforcement agencies) could reap from knowing that Al Qaeda and Zarqawi were in communication and that they were still interested in attacking the continental United States. Some intel officials believe the messages between Zarqawi and the Al Qaeda leadership were so cryptic in the first place because the terrorists already suspect their communications channel is being monitored by American authorities.


© 2005 Newsweek, Inc.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/7067798/site/newsweek/page/3/

Kilgor
03-04-2005, 02:36 AM
I find the title of this thread grossly misleading ... p-)

Frogg
03-04-2005, 03:18 AM
TERRORIST VS. TERRORIST
By RALPH PETERS

OSAMA bin Laden gets it. The terror-master understands that the campaign of bombings and assassinations has backfired in Iraq, erasing popular support for Islamist fanatics and unleashing the forces of freedom.

So World Terrorist No. 1 sent a message to Regional Terrorist No. 1: We're losing. We need a different strategy.

Osama wants Abu Musab al-Zarqawi to shift his sights from Iraq's population, to help carry the struggle back to American soil. With the old order beginning to crack in the wake of Iraq's elections, bin Laden sees that his last, desperate hope is to hurt America so badly that we quit the fight.

Osama is a strategist. He may not be a very good strategist — he called the after-effects of 9/11 utterly wrong. But he thinks in global terms, in time-frames that look decades into the future and centuries into the past. He's a big-picture guy.

Zarqawi is a hit man. He thinks tactically. Faced with the humiliation of 8 million Iraqis defying his threats and lining up to vote, his instinctive response is to lash out, to punish, to kill without stopping. Monday's bombing in Hilla took 115 Iraqi lives. It was a classic Zarqawi operation.

Osama and Zarqawi are both frustrated by the series of reverses they've suffered. But their perspectives on the Islamist war against modern civilization differ profoundly.

Even in hiding, Osama has managed to build an accurate picture of events in the greater Middle East, where his cause is on the ropes. He's realized that Zarqawi's program of videotaped beheadings, suicide bombings against civilian targets and the assassination of teachers, doctors and local officials hasn't won hearts and minds.

Zarqawi has become a menace to Osama's vision. The new guy on the block is out of control. He's hitting the wrong targets.

Osama is a long way from disavowing Zarqawi — he'd rather use him. But an eventual split could come, if the Jordanian doesn't read between the lines of the big guy's message. Osama wants a change in tactics. Now. Three years ago, people in the Middle East were cheering and naming their babies after him. Now he's losing his star quality.

The people of the Middle East are voting in Iraq and the Palestinian territories, toppling a puppet government in Lebanon, agitating for elections in Egypt — and even casting ballots for municipal representatives in Saudi Arabia. Syria looks shaky and Iran's youthful population wants the mullahs gone. Sunni and Shi'a Muslims may even learn to cooperate.

Whether Osama's sitting in Karachi, in the mountains bordering Afghanistan or even in Iran, he sees that the West is winning. The infidels are turning the heads of the faithful.

It must eat at him like cancer.

Bin Laden knows that his movement can't afford a further hemorrhage of popular support. In his gory way, Zarqawi is becoming a more immediate threat to al Qaeda than America. By killing so many Muslims, Zarqawi has destroyed the folk-hero image of Islamist terrorists, reducing them to nothing but renegade murderers.

Zarqawi may blow Osama off. His resources and interests are regional, not global. He doesn't have the temperament to call off his private war and try again elsewhere. Zarqawi's a gritty, furious field officer who wants to get at the enemy right now. Osama's the general with the broader grasp of events.

Osama's real message to Zarqawi isn't Hit America instead. It's Stop what you're doing, brother.

Our homeland will be hit again. By someone. Sooner or later, the bad guy lands a punch. Meanwhile, we should take heart from the latest evidence — delivered by Osama himself — that the cause of freedom is even more powerful than we thought, that democracy is contagious.

Osama's message to Zarqawi was one of despair — and a tribute to the millions of Arabs who are turning against his kind.

Ralph Peters is the author of "Beyond Baghdad: Postmodern War and Peace."

http://www.nypost.com/php/pfriendly/pfriendly_new.php

sp2c
03-04-2005, 04:33 AM
I don't buy it.

I'm pretty sure that the Al Qaida leadership has more important things on their minds then directing attacks at the US, what with the worlds best special soldiers hunting for them and all that.

besides I don't believe Bin Laden has any operational knowledge about what the different cells all over the world are up to from his darkened caves.

More likely they go about their business on their own and after they do something they send the big boss an email so that he can make one of his grainy video appearances were he chants allah ackbar while looking anxiously at the sky for incoming bombers.

Al Qaida as an organisation is done for, now we have to mob up all the splintered fractions before bin laden finds another base of operations (Somalia for instance)

<Gypsum Fantastic>
03-04-2005, 05:13 AM
I find the title of this thread grossly misleading ... p-)

rofl




Zarqawi Too Busy for Mainland U.S. Attack?


No! How the **** would he manage it? Zarqawi is a small time crook.