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Trigger
01-14-2004, 06:13 PM
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,108371,00.html


This is a partial transcript of Special Report with Brit Hume,*Jan. 13, that has been edited for clarity.

Watch Special Report With Brit Hume weeknights at 6 p.m. ET

BRIT HUME, HOST: The administration is not saying anything about this, and it is not even clear officials know anything about it. But some sources in Iraq are talking about a development that could prove an important turn in the search for weapons of mass destruction. For more on this we turn to the man who so often seems to know things before everybody else.

Fox News foreign affairs analyst Mansoor Ijaz, who joins us now from Berlin.

Mansoor, what's up?

MANSOOR IJAZ, FOX NEWS FOREIGN POLICY ANALYST: Well, Brit, what I have learned in the last 24 hours is that about three days ago in the northern part of Iraq, a convoy of trucks and jeeps and cars was brought across from Iran where some of the Kurdish Peshmergah -- these are these Kurdish rebels that are sort of like Mujahideen, if I may put it that way, from the old Afghan War.

They intercepted one of those trucks that were carrying a large warhead that had extremely sophisticated plastic -- C- 4 plastic explosives in it. And when the driver of that truck was put under interrogation, he then admitted that as many -- there were a total of 30 warheads that apparently were scheduled to come across.

One of them got caught, and 29 made it across somehow or the other. Of those 29, we are told now that somewhere between six and 12 of them may have, in fact, been laden with chemical explosives that would be then attached to a rocket of some sort inside Iraq that's already there in a separate convoy. And that those warheads would then be exploded over, for example, an encampment near the*Coalition Provisional Authority (search)*or something like that.

Now, what alarmed me about this and the reason that I felt it was necessary to get this out as soon as possible, is because I have now heard three times in the last week, from separate sources that I have been talking to that something big is being planned for Baghdad. In which the idea that is being put forward is to kill as many as 3,000 to 5,000 people at one shot; something that would be similar to a*World Trade Center (search)*type of attack. In that part of the world, the only way you could get that done is if you launched a massive chemical or biological attack.



HUME: Now, talk to me a little bit about the Kurdish forces who were involved in this event. Are these -- are they friendly to the United States and the coalition? Are they not? And what -- you know, and how credible are they?

IJAZ: Yes. It's a good question. The strange thing here is that what I have been told is that the sources that got this information out, what they saw on the ground physically going on is that the Kurdish leaders that had -- the Kurdish rebels that had caught this guy had taken the warhead and were actually trying to sell it back to the Iranians along with their silence. Because there's something else going on here that's of a larger political nature.

We now know that during the past week, the reformists in Iran have been pummeled and stopped from allowing their candidates to be fielded for the upcoming elections. We also know that there is, as we have said here before about a month and a half, two months ago, that there is a wintertime offensive being prepared with the help of the Iranian and Revolutionary Guard in Afghanistan, maybe with the help of Al Qaeda, maybe even bin Laden, al Zawahiri, and people like that who, as we've said here before, are in Iran right now.

And at the same time, they're trying to launch something in Iraq. The idea of which would be the wag the dog scenario, where if your domestic politics, you can't fix it, and it's getting too much pressure under honor the mullahs in Iran right now. Better to start the fire and ratchet it up a notch on both sides outside, both in Afghanistan and Iraq at the same time.

HUME: Now, how great a likelihood do you believe that you are finding this out or others finding this out, and it getting out, will have on it actually happening?

IJAZ: Well, I think the first thing we've got to do is go and talk to those Kurdish rebels and find out where the heck those other convoy trucks went. The second thing that we need to do, and I talked with General McInerney earlier this evening to determine what the range is, what type of warheads would be used and how these things could be put together. He made a very strong recommendation, and I agree with that, that we need to get Global Hawk One back in theater. Because if these things...

HUME: That thing out of there now?

IJAZ: ... these chemical warheads were attached -- they are out of there right now, and they're not in theater. And the trouble is that they're in desolate areas in which these rockets could be launched from.

And remember, a chemical weapon, to have massive -- the most massive impact that it can have to have a midair burst. Which means that it needs to be launched from, let's say, 100 kilometers away or 50 kilometers away or 200 kilometers away.

These are areas that our people are just not, you know, focused on right now because we've got so much work to do in and around the urban areas in Iraq. So I think we need to get down to finding out where that convoy of 29 warheads are and do that immediately. And get our Kurdish friends to help us rather than trying to sell them back to the Iranians. That doesn't make any sense.

HUME: Oh, we've got just a few seconds left. The credible of your sources, your assessment?

IJAZ: They're unimpeachable. Again, I think they've been right all along. We'll find out in the coming days in a print report about the bin Laden story in great detail. Everything has been verified. We will see that.

HUME: Thank you Mansoor.

Argyll
01-14-2004, 06:19 PM
The cynics here might say this is the excuse the US is looking for in attacking Iran?
However this is indeed pretty scary stuff if it proves to be credible,I hope that they pull all the stops out to locate this cache quickly!!

usa320
01-14-2004, 06:22 PM
interesting and chilling.

I definately respect MANSOOR IJAZ, he is probably the best reporter on Fox, and hes usually credible.

I hope that they are using every possible asset (i think JSTARS and Predators are their best bet) to find this convoy and its warheads, and bomb the ****ing hell out of it. No matter if its Iraq or Iran, its still dangerous and needs to be either captured or destroyed. Preferably captured.

usa320
01-14-2004, 06:32 PM
yeah...definately chilling. Before the war saddam puts makes a deal with IRan. He has Iran hold all it for him. After the war, and after things calm down, some jihadists working for whats left of Saddam's regime cart the chemical warheads back to iraq into the generally uncontrolled and desolate north.

They plan to use crude rockets to loft the stuff into baghdad, which would give little warning. With a SCUD one could see it on radar, but a little mortar or rocket would be hard to locate.

Also, back in like Febuary of 2003, there was reports that satellite images had seen what appeared to be a convoy of about 25 trucks at what intelligence suggested was an Iraqi chemical weapons facility.

I definately think that instead of Capturing the driver themselves, the Kurds should have undoubatably called in US forces.

Nonethe less, if CIA or DIA sources confirm this report, then i think that coalition ground and air patrols should be VASTLY increased in the northeast part of Iraq, near the Iranian border.

I think Iran definately needs to be dealt with. I think they more than likely did some dealings with hiding iraqi goods before the war, and its a known fact that there are Al Queda and Taliban forces setting up camp in Eastern Iran.

I think that with time Iranians themselves could reform the country, but i also think that if this report is true we cant afford to wait for revolution. I think if the convoy was located in Iran, we should go into Iran with SOF. It would piss em off, but tough ****.

It would make sense for the Iranians too. A chemical attack on baghdad would kill thousands of Americans and Iraqis- neither of which are good freinds with iran.

Bottom line is we never should have waited to strike Iraq until April. We should have hit them in like Dec. 2002...back when all this intel first surfaced, as back then it was probably dead on the money, but after spending forever pussyfooting around at the UN, iraq had time to do business and hide things.

Mr. Nielsen
01-14-2004, 06:53 PM
This story doesn't make sense to me. Who is this Mansoor Ijaz?

mustamato
01-14-2004, 07:15 PM
This story doesn't make sense to me. Who is this Mansoor Ijaz?

"FOX NEWS FOREIGN POLICY ANALYST"

That says a lot... ;)

Seoulstriker
01-14-2004, 07:41 PM
mansoor ijaz is an extremely well-connected policy analyst. he has connections in many foreign intelligence agencies and has been right about these things countless times before.

this is extremely serious. if iran's government is responsible for this......... :| :| :| serious things brewing...

Hullebullen
01-14-2004, 07:43 PM
I say I still remain skeptic. That Saddam struck a deal with the Iranians before the war, whom which he fought a savage war with, seem unlikely.

Why didn't the Kurds turn this over to US or coalition forces. The Kurds are one of the groups in Iraq which have gained the most by the removal of Saddam Hussein. Before the war, their ethnic group were the subject of terror and brutality by the Saddam regime. If those Kurds would have handed this over to US forces they would receive immense kudos for this and a favor like that to the one power that really counts would immensely further the Kurdish cause. But then again, these guys could be just a bunch of criminals (although the reporter says otherwise) trying to make a buck. Still, I think that handing this over to the US would have given them more than just the good feeling of doing the "right thing".

Still, fact remains that over the 10 years UN inspectors have searched the country and now that the US are doing the same thing, nothing of real interrest have turned up. The WMD we've seen pictures of here on the forum recently are no more than the barrels of mustard gas sunk in the baltic sea which from time to time injures unfortunate fishermen. Dangerous, yes, and a potential enviromental hazard but nothing that could be used as a weapon.

But I do think that ridding the world of a bastard like Saddam is a good thing and that's what matters most.

stuntman
01-14-2004, 07:44 PM
This story doesn't make sense to me. Who is this Mansoor Ijaz?

"FOX NEWS FOREIGN POLICY ANALYST"

That says a lot... ;)
Your right it does says alot, it means it's pretty credible!
:slap:

AFG
01-14-2004, 07:44 PM
mansoor ijaz is an extremely well-connected policy analyst. he has connections in many foreign intelligence agencies and has been right about these things countless times before.

this is extremely serious. if iran's government is responsible for this......... :| :| :| serious things brewing...

thats cool korea can wait :D


jp :bash:

hopefully iran isnt trying to start something...

usa320
01-14-2004, 08:01 PM
I cant comment on the credibility, but Mr. Ijaz has a reputation for having the "in" in the intelligence community.

He usually hits these things right on the nose.

I think hes got some background with the state department or CIA or something, cant remember.

Also Fox has another reporter, i cant remember his name, but hes good as well. He was the ambassador to morocco. He does good analysis.

usa320
01-14-2004, 08:06 PM
hopefully iran isnt trying to start something...


They already have.

The arms shipments to the palestinian territories.

The nuclear weapons reports

The monetary funding for Al Queda, Hamas, Hezbollah, islamic Jihad, Jemmiah Islamyiah, The PKK ect. ect.

THem taking in Al Queda operatives and ranking officers and setting them up with a new life in Iran.

They sent special operations teams into Iraq right after the war began to spread bull**** and inflame tensions.

Now this. I wouldnt doubt if they held onto Saddams stockpiles. They hated eachother yes, but the enemy of my enemy is thy friend.

StubbyChubs
01-14-2004, 08:11 PM
Assuming this report has a bit of truth to it, any idea how prepared the troops will be against this sort of attack? Are all the soldiers still lugging around Hazmats? Should this be taken as a serious military threat or is it mostly a threat to civilians?

usa320
01-14-2004, 08:12 PM
If the CIA and DIA concur with this intelligence, im sure that they are now.

and they were just getting used to life without carryin around that MOPP4 ****.

Seoulstriker
01-14-2004, 08:22 PM
Now, what alarmed me about this and the reason that I felt it was necessary to get this out as soon as possible, is because I have now heard three times in the last week, from separate sources that I have been talking to that something big is being planned for Baghdad.

when mansoor says this, we had better be worried. :|

al qaeda supported by iran. an extremely extremely dangerous combination.

usa320
01-14-2004, 09:13 PM
I think most journalists and military analysts are cynical jackasses, but i respect Mansoor, hes quite educated, so when he does say that, i too would be worried for our guys over there.

Im sure this sint something they arent prepared for though.

jlanni
01-14-2004, 09:23 PM
thats scary.... i wonder how the forces currently over there would be able to respond to the chemical attack in the civilian population.... haveing the troops ready is the least of the worries..(dont take that the wrong way.. they got the MOPP gear and all the training to go along with it) but a chem attack in the civilian area would be horrible :(

usa320
01-14-2004, 10:19 PM
INdeed.

Killing muslim civilians in the name of allah wouldnt make them to popular on the arab street either.

James
01-14-2004, 11:09 PM
Didnt' the U.S. fight the Iraqis alongside the Peshmergah during the late war?

Talk about the dog biting the hand that feeds it...

James
01-14-2004, 11:10 PM
Didnt' the U.S. fight the Iraqis alongside the Peshmergah during the late war?

Talk about the dog biting the hand that feeds it...

usa320
01-15-2004, 12:06 PM
Peshmergah are very diverse. Some of em are hostile to the US, i believe the most are behind us though.

Argyll
01-15-2004, 01:02 PM
One thing in this ,I would not believe a thing the CIA has to say on this,they have a dubious past,and have had their dirty hands on so much crap over the last 30 years,much of it done through subversion and privately funded wars such as South America.
This is definatley a priority in their recovery,if it turns out to be true.
Now I don'y know this Mansoor guy from Adam,but there are those here in this forum who have stated that ALL media networks are BS,and that Journo's are full of ****............and this guys name was NEVER mentioned as to being the exception...........his name ........Muslim is it?

Connections with Foreign Intelligence agencies? someone care to be more specific?

usa320
01-15-2004, 01:07 PM
Im not sure how he gets his contacts, but he does. I believe he is former CIA or state department.

He knows people in US, Saudi and Pakistani intelligence services for sure, im sure he has contacts elsewhere too.

BMF_EOD
01-15-2004, 03:58 PM
He says the rockets are laden with "chemical explosives".

WTF is that? Every explosive is "chemical" in nature.

Then he jumps in to calling it a chemical weapon. This guy knows ****.

C-4 as some kind of wonder explosive? Give me a break. Now if he had said PBXN or some "others" not to be named......

Sounds more "ratings" than "reality".

I do however agree that a large conventional attack on Iraq is highly possible.

Ian H
01-15-2004, 05:45 PM
I must say that whilst I have no reason to doubt Mr. Ijaz's credibility, it seems to me a bit rich for him to be effectively telling the military what to do about this convoy, surely journalists should stick to objective reporting and outlining possible options facing in this case the US military, not trying to second guess professionals, Eg. "Well, I think the first thing we've got to do". Who is this 'we', surely Fox News isn't going to intercept these alleged weapons themselves?!
Just an observation.

Mr. Nielsen
01-15-2004, 05:53 PM
The monetary funding for Al Queda, Hamas, Hezbollah, islamic Jihad, Jemmiah Islamyiah, The PKK ect. ect.

THem taking in Al Queda operatives and ranking officers and setting them up with a new life in Iran.



The Iranian's is like Turkey afraid of the Kurds getting an independent state. Therefore I can't imagine Iran funding the PKK.

They officially support the Hizbollah, which in the middle east is considered a legitimate organization. I don't know about the Hamas or Jemmiah Islamyiah.

But Al-Queda which is considered a terrorist organisation also in the middle east. I have never heard anything credible about Iran supporting them. The Al Queda is sunni, and the Iranians are shia. Also the Taliban regime and Al Queda were two sides of the same coin. And Iran was at odds with the Taliban, almost starting a war with them in 1996.

Pille1234
01-15-2004, 05:54 PM
oh man, that's fox news, who cares about that?
Did you forget what rubbish fox reported before the war?