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ed316
03-20-2006, 10:12 AM
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Belarus ballot 'severely flawed'
European election monitors have said the re-election of Belarus President Alexander Lukashenko was flawed and failed to meet international standards.
An EU commissioner said it was "very likely" the EU would impose sanctions.
Mr Lukashenko - branded "Europe's last dictator" by the US - said the vote was fair and denounced "foreign pressure".
The main opposition candidate, Alexander Milinkevich, called for a re-run, and for street protests against an "illegal, illegitimate president"
Election officials said Mr Lukashenko won 82.6% of the vote, which had a turnout of 92.6%. It gives the president, in power since 1994, a third term in office.
However the OSCE, Europe's main election-monitoring body, said the election "did not meet the required international standards for free and fair elections".

Despite the unashamed foreign attempts to dictate to us and colossal external pressure, they have failed to break us
Alexander Lukashenko


The group said there had been harassment and detention of opposition activists, biased media coverage and, while election day itself was orderly, obstruction of independent monitors.
"The Belarussian election was severely flawed due to arbitrary use of state power and restrictions to basic rights," the OSCE said in a statement.
"Democracy in Belarus is in its infancy," the OSCE's special co-ordinator, US Congressman Alcee Hastings, said at a press conference in the Belarussian capital Minsk.
Protests
Austria's Foreign Minister Ursula Plassnik, representing Austria's presidency of the EU, said in Brussels that the vote was marred by a "climate of intimidation".
And EU External Relations Commissioner Benita Ferrero-Waldner said some sort of action against Belarus - possibly diplomatic sanctions - "is now very likely indeed".

OFFICIAL RESULTS
Alexander Lukashenko: 82.6%
Alexander Milinkevich: 6.0%
Sergei Gaidukevich: 3.5%
Alexander Kozulin: 2.3%
Turnout: 92.6%



Earlier a rival observer mission, from the ?*Russian-led Commonwealth of Independent States, said the election was open and transparent.
Mr Lukashenko appeared on television on Monday and said complaints about the conduct of the vote were "absurd and groundless".
He said it was held "in strict compliance with our constitution, in a fair and democratic manner".

"Despite the unashamed foreign attempts to dictate to us and colossal external pressure, they have failed to break us," he said.
The opposition is urging supporters to take to the streets again on Monday evening but it was not clear if Mr Lukashenko would let them protest for a second night.


On Sunday evening about 10,000 people braved a heavy snow storm, freezing temperatures and the threat of government reprisals to show their support for the opposition and gather in Oktyabrskaya Square.

Mr Milinkevich - who election officials said received 6% of the vote - called for continuing demonstrations.
"In Belarus, we did not have an election but an unconstitutional seizure of power," he said in a news conference broadcast across Belarus.
"I very much ask all to come out into the square today, in as large numbers as possible. I believe that Belarussians have awakened, overcome fear and can stand up for their future."
But the BBC's Emma Simpson, in Minsk, says there has been no evidence so far of any Ukrainian-style Orange Revolution.
Popular support
Mr Lukashenko has warned he will not tolerate any attempt at a "coup" and has vowed to "break the neck - like a duckling's" of anyone who tries to seize power.


Police have said that protesters "trying to destabilise the situation" will be treated as terrorists and could face the death penalty.
Dozens of opposition activists were arrested in the run-up to the poll, and critics also say challengers to Mr Lukashenko had no access to the Belarus media.
A number of foreign monitors and journalists were denied entry to watch the vote.
But our correspondent says that despite his authoritarian regime Mr Lukashenko has genuine popular support, particularly in rural areas. Many Belarussians credit him with maintaining economic stability and paying pensions on time, and for avoiding the post-communist turmoil seen in neighbouring countries.

Story from BBC NEWS:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/pr/fr/-/2/hi/europe/4824642.stm

Published: 2006/03/20 13:15:01 GMT

© BBC MMVI



*O rly?

ed316
03-20-2006, 10:18 AM
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Belarus: Russia's awkward ally
By Chloe Arnold
BBC News, Moscow


Alexander Lukashenko's re-election as Belarus president - amid widespread accusations of vote-rigging - puts neighbouring Russia in a difficult position.
On the one hand, the Kremlin regards Belarus as a close ally and has been attempting to revive an official union between the two ex-Soviet states.
On the other hand, the Russian President, Vladimir Putin, has little personal affection for the outspoken Belarussian president, and endorsing Sunday's vote will put him at odds with other members of the G8, whose presidency he holds this year.
"The situation with Russian-Belarussian relations is relatively stable at the moment because the Kremlin doesn't see an alternative to Lukashenko," Yevgeny Volk, director of the Washington-based Heritage Foundation, told the BBC.
"The Kremlin is afraid that if an influential competitor to Lukashenko appears, he may be more pro-Western, which could be a serious challenge to Russia."
Soviet legacy
Mr Volk says Belarus provides Russia with a crucial counterbalance to Nato expansion eastwards.
"Lukashenko is regarded as the safeguard of Russia's national interests. Minsk is Russia's only remaining ally in Europe."

Mr Lukashenko's landslide victory in Sunday's presidential election shows that the Kremlin need not worry about losing its long-time partner in Belarus, despite accusations of fraud by Western governments. His closest rival picked up just 6% of the votes.
This will come as a relief to Mr Putin, who once said that the loss of the Soviet Union was the greatest geopolitical tragedy of the 20th Century, and has been keen to prevent an "Orange" revolution in Belarus like those in Ukraine or Georgia.
Energy lever
One way he has done this is by subsidising Belarus's energy supplies.
While Ukraine and Georgia have been forced to pay market prices for energy, most of which they get from Russia, Belarus continues to enjoy massive price reductions in its oil and gas supplies.
As a result, analysts say, Mr Lukashenko has managed to maintain the country's economy at an artificially inflated level. With Russia's economic assistance, pensions are paid on time and wages are relatively good.
"Lukashenko has used the economic subsidies to maintain political stability, which means there's not such strong dissent in Belarus (as in Georgia and Ukraine)," Yevgeny Volk told the BBC.
In addition, Belarus's secret police maintain strong ties with the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB), the main successor to the Soviet-era KGB.
There are reports that high-ranking officials in the former KGB are now working for the Belarussian secret service, which still calls itself the KGB.
Union problems
Meanwhile, Russia is keen to bolster military ties with its partner to the west. Moscow is interested in using Belarussian military facilities and negotiations have begun on the opening of an airbase in Belarus.
But a much-touted union between Russia and Belarus has been slow to take shape.
Talks on the alliance, which has been in the pipeline for more than a decade, have stalled because Mr Putin and Mr Lukashenko cannot agree on the form it should take, Nikolai Petrov, an expert with the Carnegie Moscow Centre, a leading think-tank.
"Huge differences in their economies mean the two would not be equal partners," he told the BBC. "Also, Lukashenko is still hoping to become head of the union, but Putin would not want that."
Most analysts agree that there is little chemistry between the two heads of state.
"It is obvious that [Putin] and Lukashenko are like close relatives who actually can't stand each other," writes Yulia Kalinina in Monday's Moskovsky Komsomolets newspaper. "At their meetings, they smile and kiss, but when they've departed they lean against the wall, breathe a sigh of relief and say 'Ugh!'"
The difficulty now for Mr Putin is steering a path between supporting a regime run by a man dubbed by Washington as "Europe's last dictator" and appeasing members of the G8, whose presidency he currently holds.
"Moscow's continuing ties with Belarus cast doubt on its own democratic intentions," said Yevgeny Volk. "And that leaves it open to serious criticism for its support of Lukashenko's administration."

Story from BBC NEWS:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/pr/fr/-/2/hi/europe/4825708.stm

Published: 2006/03/20 15:02:44 GMT

© BBC MMVI