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askDNA
04-13-2006, 09:39 AM
Trade Deficit Narrows by 4.2%
As Imbalance With China Eases
Imbalance Will Be a Focus
Of Hu's Washington Visit;
Crude-Oil Pressures Mount
By GREG HITT
April 13, 2006; Page A2

WASHINGTON -- The U.S. trade deficit narrowed 4.2% in February to $65.74 billion as the closely watched imbalance with China eased and the volume of imported oil fell.
Total imports and exports both declined, as the February gap for trade in goods and services dropped $2.84 billion, from a revised $68.58 billion in January. U.S. exports in February totaled $112.98 billion, down $1.3 billion. Slackened demand for foreign-made goods pulled imports down $4.2 billion to $178.72 billion.



But even with the improvements, the monthly gap is still one of the largest ever, putting the U.S. on pace this year to break 2005's record annual trade deficit of $723.61 billion. "The trend still points to a larger deficit in coming months, especially given recent rises in oil prices," said Nigel Gault, U.S. economist for Global Insight Inc., a Massachusetts-based research and consulting firm.
Mr. Gault expects "trade will still be a drag on growth in the first quarter" of 2006, shaving an estimated 0.75 percentage point off growth in U.S. gross domestic product.
For the month, the average price of a barrel of crude rose to $53.72, up from $51.93 in January. But the volume of oil imports declined during the same period, bringing the overall value of crude imports down to $15.64 billion in February from $15.72 billion in January.
The U.S. deficit with China, which has been the source of Sino-U.S. trade friction, showed improvement in February as well, narrowing 23% to $13.84 billion. The drop reflected gains in U.S. exports to China -- which jumped $600 million on the strength of sales of cotton and soybeans -- and a $3.5 billion decline in U.S. imports from China, as demand for Chinese-made computers and household goods eased.
Although the deficit with China narrowed for the month, the gap showed no improvement over numbers posted in February 2005, when it stood at $13.87 billion. So far this year, the accumulated U.S. trade deficit with China is somewhat worse, totaling $31.75 billion, up $2.63 billion from the same period in 2005.
The mixed data come a week before a long-planned visit to the U.S. by Chinese President Hu Jintao. Trade issues are expected to dominate the visit, and President Bush has promised to raise concerns about China's currency management.
Critics complain that Beijing manipulates China's currency, keeping the value of the yuan artificially low to give Chinese companies an edge in the world market.


http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114484484383723904.html

Flagg
04-13-2006, 10:42 PM
ANY improvement is good, but it could be a question of perspective given that the US is likely on track to surpass last year's trade deficit figure.

I disagree with the Chinese Yuan manipulation. It has been moved from a fixed dollar peg to floating against a basket of it's major trading partners currencies.....and it has slowly been revised up several times in the past year(and likely will trend consistently upwards for the foreseeable future).

Maybe it's a question of the Yuan not being adjusted fast enough to satisfy the US administration, but US consumers are still voting with their credit cards and buying Chinese made rubber dog poop(as is the rest of the west).

ed316
04-14-2006, 01:25 AM
It sounds good but it won't last. The summer is comming and the rising gas prices will off set this good news. The Admin could of dealt with the whole yuan pegging years back but they just weren't agressive enough. From what I read a couple of months back the yuan is deliberately undervalued by 15% to 40% which means Chinese manufaturers recieve 15% to 40% on subsidy on their export. They dragged their feet on this and getting us off ME oil.