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shocker1
12-12-2006, 10:11 AM
US Politicians: Tehran Winner of Iran-US Confrontation
TEHRAN (Fars News Agency)- The report issued last week by the blue-ribbon Iraq Study Group provides fresh proof of Iran's strengthened hand in the Middle East since the US-led invasion. It mentions the Islamic Republic more than 50 times and makes clear that the US will have to seek Iran's help for any resolution.

http://media.farsnews.com/Media/8312/Images/jpg/A0087/A0087080.jpg
The Bush administration no longer has much leverage to stop Iran from pursuing uranium enrichment technology, diplomats and analysts said.

And the price of cooperation, Mustapha Alani, director of security and terrorism studies at the Gulf Research Institute, an independent think tank in Dubai, said will be very high: "They are looking for a grand bargain that includes the nuclear issue, recognition of their influence and position in Iraq, and their position in the balance of power in the region."

Far from spreading democracy through the region, the Iraq war has strengthened the Islamic Republic of Iran.

"So far, Iran won the Iraq war," said George Perkovich, the vice-president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

He added that the US hand was already weak on the nuclear issue because of Russia's reluctance to go along with sanctions against the Islamic Republic. But the report makes clear that Iran has substantial leverage in any negotiation because of its importance in helping to quell the spiraling civil war in Iraq, he said.

Israel views the situation with alarm. "The idea was to make Iraq a partner in the moderate Arab camp. Instead, it has come under the influence of Iran, a state that calls for Israel's destruction," said Ephraim Sneh, Israel's deputy defense minister.

Underpinning Iran's increased clout are the US failures in Iraq, where Iran has long exercised influence, and deft diplomacy by Iran around the nuclear issue. In a region dominated by Sunni Muslim governments, Shiite-ruled Iran has set itself up as a leader in the confrontation between Islam and the West.

Western diplomats are reluctant to describe Iran as a victor but concede that for the moment, at least, it looks that way. "Iran won the first round," said a senior Western diplomat in an Arab state. http://www.farsnews.com/English/newstext.php?nn=8509210522

annihilation
12-12-2006, 10:48 AM
I thought the Iran negotiations are being handle by the europeans?

But its pretty much right the US has no leverage against Iran anymore.

Freedom06
12-12-2006, 10:54 AM
Israel views the situation with alarm. "The idea was to make Iraq a partner in the moderate Arab camp. Instead, it has come under the influence of Iran, a state that calls for Israel's destruction," said Ephraim Sneh, Israel's deputy defense minister.

I wonder if the US will be willing to strain US-Israeli relations in order to somehow get Irans' cooperation over the nuclear issue and Iraq...

ElHombre
12-12-2006, 11:06 AM
I wonder if the US will be willing to strain US-Israeli relations in order to somehow get Irans' cooperation over the nuclear issue and Iraq...

It depends on the definition of strain. Israel wouldn't like it but the US has thousands of troops stuck in Iraq and a populace that has figured out that keeping them there isn't in the US's best interests. If I were in Israel's position, I'd take advantage of the part of the ISG report calling for the US to return to the Israeli-Palestinian negotiations.

Freedom06
12-12-2006, 11:13 AM
I just see a big crunch point coming up if the US wants to negotiate with Iran about helping out in Iraq (if that ever happens-seems like a bit of a fantasy) in return for some form of compromise over their nuclear ambitions. Israel obviously couldn't stomach that kind of deal-would the US theoretically do it anyway? And if the US realises that it really needs Iranian cooperation in Iraq-would they let Israel bomb Irans' nuclear sites if they decided to?

ElHombre
12-12-2006, 11:34 AM
Israel can't strike Iran without US approval, whether stated or unstated. My guess to your hypothetical is that Israel would tone down its rhetoric about openly confronting Iran and let the US carry the brunt of the risk of a conflict with Iran.

eugenlitwin
12-12-2006, 11:34 AM
quote
In a region dominated by Sunni Muslim governments, Shiite-ruled Iran has set itself up as a leader in the confrontation between Islam and the West.

100% agree!!!
i just hope that after all what we have done for Shiia in Iraq they would not adapted (in Shiiastan) same politic toward us.

Freedom-Fries
12-12-2006, 07:39 PM
Won't be long before the Iranians got Nukes

ViktorNavorski
12-13-2006, 12:44 AM
I thought the Iran negotiations are being handle by the europeans?I mention that a long while back. When the going was good, you hear alot about the "diplomatic" effort of the EU, they had the leverage and lead at negotiation. **** hit the fan and the entire situation get dumped on our lap.