Basically it falls down to they have only budgeted for X amount (in £ 000's ) for the F-35 JCA upto 2020-23 (Ordered-Delivered), they can't say yet how many actual aircraft that will be as they don't have a definative price yet from LM they can use as a basis, next year they should get a production price, that will then indicate how many aircraft they can afford and how many they intend to order in the initial order. 2015 SDSR will then use those figures along with new price projections from LM, coupled with the requirements from the service chiefs to determine how many we are looking to get or need for future force 2020, the confirmed status of the 2nd carrier may well be reflected in the numbers so that at least a 2nd Naval Squadron is required in addition to the mixed force swing role squadron.
By 2020 SDSR they will have one Carrier in service and about to receive its inital aircraft with a 2nd carrier working up (although how it will be utilised awaits the 2015 SDSR), and by this time they will know the procurement cost of the F-35B along with its running costs, capabilities and servicability. They will also have a clear idea of our UCAV capability and of course what the current and predicted global situation is like both socially and economically. Thats when they will address the overall F-35B requirement of how many aircraft are needed and how they will be utilised.



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