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Thread: Iran to launch a “Hormuz closing” maneuver

  1. #211
    Senior Member Climber's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Surenas View Post
    If you think Iran is ****ting in their pants than you don't know their mentality.
    And what is their mentality?

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    Senior Member Surenas's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Climber View Post
    And what is their mentality?
    Most are veterans of the Iran-Iraq war, the bloodiest war after the Korea war. They romanticize that war and some high ranking officials in Iran would even welcome a fight with Israel/US. Just like Clinton last week said.

    http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7...245767,00.html

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    Quote Originally Posted by Surenas View Post
    Most are veterans of the Iran-Iraq war, the bloodiest war after the Korea war. They romanticize that war and some high ranking officials in Iran would even welcome a fight with Israel/US. Just like Clinton last week said.

    http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7...245767,00.html
    I dont even know how to answer you.

    The Iran and Iraq war was very bloody indeed, and even if they romanticize it, they die as every other human being. There is nothing bravery and romanticism can do against fire power, Thats all. And BTW, Clinton said what?

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    Senior Member Surenas's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Climber View Post
    I dont even know how to answer you.

    The Iran and Iraq war was very bloody indeed, and even if they romanticize it, they die as every other human being. There is nothing bravery and romanticism can do against fire power, Thats all. And BTW, Clinton said what?
    Well, it would be a good idea to read something about the Iran-Iraq war. Bravery and romanticism (martyrdom) eventually did stop the Iraqi's in that war. Not stating that the upcoming war would be exactly the same, but some high ranking officials can't wait to get Ahangaran (famous Iranian war singer) back on the TV again.

    According to Clinton some within the Iranian regime would welcome an attack, for several reasons.

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    Senior Member Climber's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Surenas View Post
    Well, it would be a good idea to read something about the Iran-Iraq war. Bravery and romanticism (martyrdom) eventually did stop the Iraqi's in that war. Not stating that the upcoming war would be exactly the same, but some high ranking officials can't wait to get Ahangaran (famous Iranian war singer) back on the TV again.

    According to Clinton some within the Iranian regime would welcome an attack, for several reasons.
    No, Bravery and romanticism didn't stop Iraq, it was a long war and at some point it stalled for both sides for many other more mundane reasons than those.

    And Now Clinton didn't say anything of what you said at least in that link.

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    Senior Member Surenas's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Climber View Post
    No, Bravery and romanticism didn't stop Iraq, it was a long war and at some point it stalled for both sides for many other more mundane reasons than those.
    Yes, it did. You can read the many analyzes.

    And Now Clinton didn't say anything of what you said at least in that link.
    Well, even the headline says it.

    While some in Iran say that an attack would unify the country and grant it legitimacy, "there are those who say look, these sanctions are really biting, we’re not making the kind of economic progress we should be making, we don’t give up that much by saying we’re not going to do a nuclear weapon and having a verifiable regime to demonstrate that."

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    I am sorry, maybe you have a better English comprehension than me. I don't read the same as you have said. And about the war, whatever, if you think so, its cool with me. have a good night.

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    Quote Originally Posted by happyslapper View Post
    No maps at sea.

    There's charts like these though:
    You are looking at the Strait of Hormuz. What he is refering to is the two Persian islands and how the shipping lane into the Persian Gulf is north of these islands which puts them into the territorial waters of Iran.

    Regardless all these oil tanker ships are sailing in the Persian Gulf so makes no difference.

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    Quote Originally Posted by EITAN88 View Post
    Attachment 182995

    A chart better demonstrating how the territorial waters in the Persian Gulf are divided.

    I see that Abus Musa is included in Iran's territory yet my question still stands as it seems very possible for ships to travel through UAE waters in order to leave the gulf.
    Hey thanks for clarifying that. For a second there I thought I was dealing with some noob who can't read a map.

    So to further clarify, the strait isn't just the short corner to some of us but the entire restricted shipping lane, the western end of which is entirely in Iranian water.

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    Close the strait all they want ...Oil producers will love it secretly so .. send oil prices stratospheric

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    Quote Originally Posted by timetraveller View Post
    Close the strait all they want ...Oil producers will love it secretly so .. send oil prices stratospheric
    That's what I would do. Not overtly close it but just stop enough tankers looking for illicit shipment and quota breaking to effectively crimp the oil supply.

    Start slow and build the rate of stoppage. The hardest one to stop will be that first one. It'll be a butt hair raising event for both sides.

  12. #222
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    Quote Originally Posted by Surenas View Post
    Most are veterans of the Iran-Iraq war, the bloodiest war after the Korea war. They romanticize that war and some high ranking officials in Iran would even welcome a fight with Israel/US. Just like Clinton last week said.

    http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7...245767,00.html
    The Iran-Iraq war was a conflict of the kind of WW1.
    If Iranians are seeing it as romantic, they should remember the words of Khomeini when he was forced to stop the war. They should also remember what happened to Germany that continued to idealize war after WW1.

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    Quote Originally Posted by StateMachine View Post
    Hey thanks for clarifying that. For a second there I thought I was dealing with some noob who can't read a map.
    Well the fact of the matter is that the chart provided by HS lacks a lot of detail, so knowing or not knowing how to read it is irrelevent.

    So to further clarify, the strait isn't just the short corner to some of us but the entire restricted shipping lane, the western end of which is entirely in Iranian water.
    Once again I don't understand why ships can't chose to travel close to the Arabian Penninsula (UAE waters) and thus avoid entering Iranian territory.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Climber View Post
    And what is their mentality?
    The people within the IRGC and other armed fractions of the government in Iran love martyrdom, they love dying for their religion and country. It will be very difficult to beat such people as they fight with zeal and passion

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    Quote Originally Posted by StateMachine View Post
    That's what I would do. Not overtly close it but just stop enough tankers looking for illicit shipment and quota breaking to effectively crimp the oil supply.

    Start slow and build the rate of stoppage.
    If Iran do that (which they won't - they're not that stupid), it would incentivise most governments in the world for war against them. Even China and Russia would back off. If Iran start to impede the world economy by slowing oil shipments, then they will be writing their own will. Nothing would unify the world against you quicker than this behaviour.

    Quote Originally Posted by timetraveller View Post
    ..Oil producers will love it secretly so .. send oil prices stratospheric
    The oil producers who use the strait would not love it, since it's their exports that would be impeded. Additionally, the more developed oil exporters prefer price stability.

    After Iran's threats, UAE have built a pipeline as an alternative.
    http://news.kuwaittimes.net/2012/06/...hormuz-bypass/

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