
Originally Posted by
muck
I'm being self-righteous for disagreeing with Hollande's ideas and preferring Sarkozy on his stead? And that I'm German plays a role in there?
Now that's what I would call a self-righteous comment...
Oh well. It's kind of funny to be told off by someone who admits to not knowing - and not even caring about - Hollande's proposals.
I'm aware of what "more and more economists say" but that doesn't have to make their opinion any righter to my judgement. The idea a common weal could flourish on tick defies macro-economic logic and quite simple math. History itself teaches us that overindebted nations always have to fall only to resurrect and tread the same doomed paths again - for my part I would like this circle broken open and I'm convinced less egocentricity and more awareness of the expectable plight of future generations would be the key.
What these experts and Hollande hope for is that stimuli paid with borrowed money will boost the economy, create more jobs, increase domestic demand and that this circle will keep itself alive somehow. Admittely it can pay off, but most of the time in recent history it has not for it means to ignore the countless variables that can shoot down the idea. I'm speaking of variables such as the markets' inherent momentum and their texture that is being reshaped by the crisis beyond the grasp of how our leaders dream it to be. I'm speaking of the distrust between market participants who hesitate to trade with each other or give credits even after the government has filled their pockets with fresh money. I'm speaking of the consumer's reluctance to spend their pay raises as supposed to make the stimuli package work and all the other intricacies of economic interactions.
To me eyes it seems like a game of roulette and governments going "all in" on the option of success even though they cannot know any more than the very player at the casino table.
Forgive me that I brought up Germany as an example. I didn't mean to show off or something, but just to bring an example of what kind of policies I was referring to. Some of Germany's federal states fare so well that they're already on the path of repaying their own debts. Actually they fare so well that they help - well, not quite voluntarily - to finance the other states.
They could only accomplish this feat by budgetary discipline.
They neither like the idea of being held accountable for the others' liabilities, by the way. Euro-Bonds are a gross violation of the treaties agreed upon by all members of the Eurozone and they would only delay the inevitable. Neither France nor Germany should suffer the communitarisation of debts which they didn't pile up and which they were said they'd never be held liable for. Not only would that be unjust but also most unwise. It'd be like paying truckloads of painkillers for a patient who'd need surgery instead of mere medicine.