
Originally Posted by
Flagg
Would I pay $1 billion for Facebook?
Absolutely!
Would I pay $100 billion for Facebook?
No....
Facebook has a value.....public markets exist for a number of reasons......to put a tangible value on things, as well as a means of raising capital and investing capital.
Facebook float at $50 billion would have been a smashing success......
They(underwriters/Facebook/inside shareholders) simply pushed too hard and went too far.
Facebook has a value.....a very real tangible value....
I've got a small business that uses Facebook.......we've got a pretty substantial following on Facebook.
It has certainly helped my business.......in fact I'd say it has been one of our better investments in time/effort/money.
Could Facebook become another Yahoo? Absolutely.....but I would say you'd have to be a complete moron to NOT leverage the much deeper, broader, richer voluntary customer data being added each day which is owned into perpetuity by Facebook.
The ability for Facebook to leverage it's growing mass personalized intelligence it's almost boundless.
Take direct mail marketing.....rubbish that goes in your post box...my understanding is that a HUGE strike rate is considered 2%...that's phenominal success.
There's no reason why Facebook cannot achieve 3,4,6,8% or better with their broader deeper knowledge of it's customers.
Your TV and your radio and your magazines and your newspapers know little to nothing about you individually......Facebook, Google, Amazon, and Apple know everything about you....or considerable "slices" of you.
Facebook's potential is both scary and awesome.........