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Thread: Military plane, Hatay, Turkey, lost contact close to Syria

  1. #661
    Banned user Flamming_Python's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by domokun View Post
    When we raise level from tactical to political start to speculate about motives. Provoking response from Syrians and getting plane fired upon or worst case shot down might have been the actual objective of mission.
    In another case maybe - but I doubt that it's the case here. Turks are not about to sacrifice an experienced crew and specialised plane, and the pilots are not about to martyr themselves for the sake of invoking article 4 of the NATO treaty. Most likely they were just trying to capture some electronic signals, maybe pick up some transmissions and test Syria's air defenses.

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    Mr. Liberal LineDoggie's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by domokun View Post
    When we raise level from tactical to political start to speculate about motives. Provoking response from Syrians and getting plane fired upon or worst case shot down might have been the actual objective of mission.
    How many Pilots you know willing to let themselves be killed on the chance their country will go to war? because it dont pass the sniff test unless ones sniffing cocaine...

  3. #663

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    Quote Originally Posted by Combat-Master View Post
    This is what Turkish Media is publishing, notice the time and altitude and critical position the plane was shot at



    Plane shot in International Airspace @11:58, @12:02 plane crashes after being hit.
    The Turkish account is surprisingly similar to Syrian:



    That confirms my conclusions:

    1) Syrians were tracking the jet for long time and it was no surprise to them.
    2) The F-4 was flying at high altitude, otherwise they were not able to track it.
    3) Syrians were pretty sure that its a Turkish plane, because it flew through Turkish territory at high altitude and then loitered around.
    4) Its ridiculous to assume that a hostile plane intending to attack would loiter before that at high altitude dragging all possible attention.

    But there is one additional thing: there was low pass through Syrian waters between 11:42 and 11:47. Then plane again climbed at high altitude and returned to about same position as before the pass.

    Its very possible that they decided to make another low pass but were shot down.

    This is strange and quite provocative behavior. But it same time its not really menacing, because plane which intends to attack would never behave like that.

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    Quote Originally Posted by 501 View Post
    The Turkish account is surprisingly similar to Syrian:



    That confirms my conclusions:

    1) Syrians were tracking the jet for long time and it was no surprise to them.
    2) The F-4 was flying at high altitude, otherwise they were not able to track it.
    3) Syrians were pretty sure that its a Turkish plane, because it flew through Turkish territory at high altitude and then loitered around.
    4) Its ridiculous to assume that a hostile plane intending to attack would loiter before that at high altitude dragging all possible attention.

    But there is one additional thing: there was low pass through Syrian waters between 11:42 and 11:47. Then plane again climbed at high altitude and returned to about same position as before the pass.

    Its very possible that they decided to make another low pass but were shot down.

    This is strange and quite provocative behavior. But it same time its not really menacing, because plane which intends to attack would never behave like that.
    Interesting analysis. But, what's the verdict? Who's really at fault? It doesn't look like the Turks crossed any international lines, but then again, I'm not an expert on Turk-Syrian borders.

    And, what would prompt a recon plane, as such, to make those maneuvers (the dives)?

    Also, what's the latest? Did they find the pilots, by chance? Hope they're alright.

  5. #665

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    Quote Originally Posted by Gunfighter-AK View Post
    Interesting analysis. But, what's the verdict? Who's really at fault? It doesn't look like the Turks crossed any international lines, but then again, I'm not an expert on Turk-Syrian borders.

    And, what would prompt a recon plane, as such, to make those maneuvers (the dives)?

    Also, what's the latest? Did they find the pilots, by chance? Hope they're alright.
    Well my conclusion that Turkish behavior was provocative but not menacing.

    Especially since the jet was not shot during the first dive but when it climbed at high altitude and returned back again.

    Its also unclear if it was making second dive, but anyways in such cases of strange behavior I think you should send your own fighter and check whats the hell is going on.

  6. #666
    Senior Member Universals's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by 501 View Post
    Well my conclusion that Turkish behavior was provocative but not menacing.

    Especially since the jet was not shot during the first dive but when it climbed at high altitude and returned back again.

    Its also unclear if it was making second dive, but anyways in such cases of strange behavior I think you should send your own fighter and check whats the hell is going on.
    Syria grounded their planes, the last time they sent a plane up, it didn't come back. There's also a report that some Pilots are in Jordan seeking asylum. So, they have make sure the pilots they are sending up will return.

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    Senior Member themacedonian's Avatar
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    The clear political winner out of this situation is NATO.

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    Falcons FTW Kilgor's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by themacedonian View Post
    The clear political winner out of this situation is NATO.
    So let me guess... its therefore clear that the pilots and F4 " took one for the team" ?

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    Posted this in the other forum, but no one replied


    Turkish search-and-rescue teams found the wreckage of a fighter jet shot down by Syria in an incident that raises the temperature between the two regional powers significantly, Turkish television reported Sunday.


    - http://edition.cnn.com/2012/06/24/wo...html?hpt=hp_t2

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    Phantom shot down by SA-3, i have an urge for few Creedence songs.

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    Senior Member Atlantic Friend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gunfighter-AK View Post
    And, what would prompt a recon plane, as such, to make those maneuvers (the dives)?
    Could it have been evasive maneuvers?

  12. #672
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    11:58-hit point-13 miles away
    12:02 fall point.-8 miles away

    It seems they tried to reach nearest land for ejection.
    BTW there some new radar compounds and SAM batteries in top of the mounts of Hatay district.

  13. #673

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    Syrian security forces fired on a Turkish-flagged search and rescue plane which rushed into Syrian airspace to locate the downed Turkish F4 jet and its two missing pilots June 22, the Hürriyet Daily News has learned from Western diplomatic sources.

    “[In addition to] what we have seen in the media, we have been informed that Syrian forces opened fire on another Turkish plane [which had come to the region] as part of the search and rescue operation,” sources told the Daily News on the condition of anonymity.


    http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/tur...&NewsCatID=338

    Syrian officials were fully aware that a jet their forces downed on June 22 was Turkish as they used the Turkish word for “neighbor” to refer to the aircraft, a Turkish intelligence official has said, according to daily Hürriyet.


    http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/syr...&NewsCatID=338

  14. #674
    Senior Member themacedonian's Avatar
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    What did they refer to it as "komsho"?

    So what if they knew? They also know the role Turkey plays in this conflict. Nothing shocking there.

  15. #675
    Senior Member tea drinker's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Atlantic Friend View Post
    Could it have been evasive maneuvers?
    only if he was evading common sense. He was flying twice towards the coast of Syria. What kind of nonsense mission was this diving towards coastal batteries and what respect for the crew of the F4 does it show? Mission goals still not clearly stated.

    Margins of error not stated on the powerpoint slide.

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