4. Commie China is overconfident in dealing with commie Vietnam?? "Overconfidence"? Really?? Does anyone know how much political and economic, and military sway commie China holds over commie Vietnam? Let see: how much refined oil/gasoline, electricity does VN get from China? How about water resources? How about natural resources mining by China in the Central Highland in VN? how about import and export? I'd give you a hint: couple yrs ago Chinese merchants were importing rice from South VN, paying above market price, and VN almost went into panic because of shortage for domestic consumption. And this story is being repeated for almost everything else (All these are publicly acknowledged by VN, so the real statistics are probably more dire than that). If the PRC decides to tighten the economic noose, VN's economy would screech to a complete halt, and spiral to a tailspin. In fact my personal opinion is the commie China could bankrupt commie VN in a New York minute without batting a blink.
How about political sway? Do you know the political dynamic inside VN? The who's who, and their political patrons and orientation? Hint: 2 out of the 3 heads of the triad in VN politics look to Beijing for support. People often make the flawed assumption that because VN has long history of political and military conflicts with China, it is going to be the case with the current commie leadership in VN. Before making that leap, ask yourselves which is more preferable to the current commie leadership in VN: (no, not the top leadership who could seek political asylum in the West ironically, but the middle-to-upper tier) 1. get close to the West and increase the risk of being overthrown ala East Europe style, or 2. submit to commie China and hold onto the economic, and political benefits owing to Chinese supports. So, don't be fooled by the rhetoric and public posturing. Follow the money and you will see!