Well, after reading this forum I predict for 2050:
USA will be the "United Socialist Republics of America"
EU will the the "Great Caliphate of Europe and North Africa"
China will own the entire Pacific
Japan will have blown itself up with the help of some weird gen-manipulated lizard in schoolgirl uniform
Russia will be the "Holy Russian Empire" led by God-Emperor Putin
Israel and "teh Juice" will still be blamed for every unfortunate thing that happens worldwide
Therefor, Crysis post is null and void.
2050?
That's 38 years from now (shyt I'll be 80)
by then...
by then...
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....which world do you live in?
India has a labor force of nearly 500 million (as compared to 70 million for Bangladesh).This number would increase to nearly around 700 million by 2020.India is very cheap when compared to most developing countries.Maybe in cloth manufacturing Bangladesh is doing better than India but not in general case.
India and Bangladesh are in completely different league.
A small calculation. To bring these 700 Mill. people up to a annual salary of 50000 €/$ (I use it here because the Rupie is not familiar to me) you need to add every single year around 921 billion worth of salaries.
That is quite difficult to achieve. Also an ever growing cheap lobour force is contradictive to a high GDP/c.
Show me one country with low wages and a high GDP/c. Sure you can employ the PPP model if it suits you. But that is only a relative model. Advanced technologies and services have their price and this price will ever increase the more people reach certain levels of wealth.
Hence no wonder that on this crystal ball prediction mainly less populous countries are mentioned.
I was reading on http://sdelanounas.ru/ about the manufacturing data, it was set at 2012. If I find it, I will post it. But maybe you are right. I was just thinking if it ever came to that point. That said, with robotics, it could make manufacturing cheaper in long run as well as keeping quality up. But that is for a different topic (also the fact that Germany can capitalize on their manufacturing more since more German products are on the market, very rare to find Russian products unless it is in Eastern Europe).
Edit: You know what? I might be thinking of Industrialization in general and not manufacturing itself. So that may make more sense.
You are forgetting that Russia, like Canada, has the key of the natural resources. Brazil of course does, but Russia has the chance of being the Energy power, and that in itself, is what countries like India, China and USA are forever in need of. Mixed in with their (slowly) growing manufacturing industry, can be huge for them. At least they have the security, country like Nigeria in your list? Not even close. They may have the resources and the high population, but majority are poor and they have a lot more problems (probably more than countries like India).
An irony there is that the Asian Tigers making the top four are countries with some of the poorest natural resource, territorial and demographic conditions for prolonged economic expansion.
Well I'd still prefer to live in a very wealthy economy than in a big but relatively poor economy.
The PRC is only doing it thanks to massive export driven economy, fudging the numbers, dumping, extreme incoming trade restrictions, stealing technology, and intimidation
And even then, they're running out of steam. An economy can never have that continuous fantastic growth rate forever.
China is not a model to emulate. Tariffs, perhaps. But not mroe than that.
In short, India has to figure out some other strategy, or out the windshield it goes like China will.
**** sucks, but what can ya do, eh? :P
when i saw the first posts in this thread this morning, i knew that by now it will be all about india again...